o There were 2,071 homes for sale in Stockton at the end of the month. This total includes 587 pending units, leaving a net 1,484 units (3.8 months' inventory) available for sale. o 4,652 homes were sold in Stockton during the 12 month period, an average of 388 homes per month. This compares to 4,880 homes, or a 407 unit average per month one year ago, a 5% drop. o SALES ARE SLOWING... INVENTORIES ARE COMING... o There is a 5 month inventory on the market (see the "Months Sales In Inventory" chart above). Exclusive of pending sales (more transactions fall out of escrow in this market than in a normal market) there is a 3.8 month adjusted inventory. o There should be additional homes placed on the market over the next few months unless lenders continue to "bank" foreclosed-upon homes, or some other solution is found for 'warehoused' foreclosures and other "Shadow Inventory". See comments above. o 390 units were sold this month this year, 396 units this month last year. o The average sales price per square foot is $78 - less than the cost to build a home. o The average home sales price was $131,000. o Continued increases in mortgage delinquencies will result in new measures, increased inventories, and should continue a downward pressure on Stockton home sale prices. o We can probably expect a price adjustment next year of 10% nationwide, and we expect about half that in Stockton, since we have led the national curve. That would indicate a further average price reduction of $6,500 (5% of $131,000) here. |